SimpleFunctions

Florida · KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3

Florida is priced at 14¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 10 inside KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3.

Price history

14¢ current

+12¢
0¢10¢
Jul 30, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Florida finishes in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Florida

Rank

#10 of 10

Leader

Georgia 48¢

Range

6¢-48¢

Family volume

$164

Identifier

KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3-FLA

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 42m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 42m ago

Bid

Ask

21¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#10 of 10

10 outcomes · KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$164

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 21¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
6¢255
AskSize
21¢2
23¢5
26¢250
41¢90
94¢2.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Florida finishes in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3-FLA

SF Signal
SF Index
1737.50
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3475.0%

IY (No)

14.2%

Adj IY

1738%

CRI

16

Overround

1.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3475.0%
14.2%
Adj IY
1738%
16
Overround
1.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Technicalguide

How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis

Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.