Will the Oklahoma college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 26% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
26%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$338
20 contracts
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
165 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
18 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Alabama finish in the top” vs “Will the Texas”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Alabama finish in the top
Will Alabama finish in the top 5 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season?: Alabama
KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T5-ALA
Will Alabama finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season?: Alabama
KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T4-ALA
Cluster 2
Will the Texas
Will the Texas college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season?: Texas
KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3-TEX
Will the Texas A&M college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season?: Texas A&M
KXNCAAFSECREGTOP-27T3-TXAM
Cluster 3
Will Georgia finish in the top 5 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 4
Will Texas A&M finish in the top 5 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 5
Will the Alabama college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 6
Will the Florida college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 7
Will the LSU college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 8
Will the Ole Miss college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 9
Will the Oklahoma college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 10
Will the South Carolina college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 11
Will the Tennessee college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 12
Will the Georgia college football team finish in the top 3 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 regular season
Cluster 13
Will Auburn finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 14
Will Florida finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 15
Will LSU finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 16
Will Ole Miss finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 17
Will Missouri finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Cluster 18
Will Oklahoma finish in the top 4 in the Southeastern Conference in the 2026 college football regular season
Analysis
This 15% probability indicates traders assess a one-in-six-or-seven chance Oklahoma finishes among the top three teams in SEC standings during the 2026 regular season. Oklahoma joined the SEC in 2024 and faces established powerhouses in conference play. The low probability reflects the competitive depth of the league, where programs like Georgia, Texas, and Alabama typically contend for top positions. The 2026 regular season itself—running from late August through late November—will directly determine final conference standings. Key performance drivers include Oklahoma's roster development in their third SEC season, injury outcomes during the season, and head-to-head results against ranked conference opponents. The resolution occurs after the regular season concludes, when final conference standings become official.
- ›Oklahoma finished 6th in SEC standings in 2025; improvement to top-3 requires significant performance gains or favorable schedule outcomes
- ›Georgia and Texas are priced at 20¢ each compared to Oklahoma's 5¢, suggesting Oklahoma faces steeper odds than other recent SEC additions
- ›SEC conference play typically includes multiple top-25 matchups; Oklahoma's non-conference schedule and strength of late-season opponents will influence final positioning
- ›Coaching stability and quarterback performance at Oklahoma will directly impact win-loss record and conference standing
- ›The 2026 regular season concludes in late November, at which point final SEC standings determine whether the condition is met or unmet
What moved the line
- Aug 22Georgia↓22pp66→44¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 25Georgia↓21pp81→60¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 22Alabama↓20pp56→36¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 19Ole Miss↓17pp30→13¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Ole Miss↑17pp13→30¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubslast 50% · 4d
- How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026last 38% · 5d
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Hahn as FDA commissionerlast 49% · 6d
- Will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7 before Aug 21, 2026last 45% · 6d
- Will James Fishback concede defeat in the the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race before Aug 20, 2026last 79% · 7d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.