68° or below · Will the high temp in LA
68° or below is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will the high temp in LA.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 13, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 69°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
68° or below
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
77° or above 63¢
Range
1¢-63¢
Family volume
$38K
Identifier
KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-T69
Jul 13, 2026, 3:22 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in LA
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$38K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 13, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 69°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-T69
Event family
Will the high temp in LA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$38K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
77° or above 63¢
Current share
4%
77° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-T76
75° to 76°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-B75.5
73° to 74°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-B73.5
71° to 72°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-B71.5
69° to 70°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-B69.5
68° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26JUL13-T69
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.