In July 2026 · KXFOMCGUIDE-26
In July 2026 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
11¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the inclusion of forward-looking rate guidance in the July 2026 FOMC statement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
In July 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$695
Identifier
KXFOMCGUIDE-26-FWD
Jul 23, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$695
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$695
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the inclusion of forward-looking rate guidance in the July 2026 FOMC statement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXFOMCGUIDE-26-FWD
Event family
KXFOMCGUIDE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$695
Outcomes
1
Highest price
In July 2026 7¢
Current share
100%
In July 2026
kalshi · KXFOMCGUIDE-26-FWD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.