The Life of a Showgirl to be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report
The Life of a Showgirl is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31.
Price history
6¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If The Life of a Showgirl is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
The Life of a Showgirl
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
ARIRANG 64¢
Range
1¢-64¢
Family volume
$251
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Family volume
$251
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Life of a Showgirl is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
Event family
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$251
Outcomes
16
Highest price
ARIRANG 64¢
Current share
0%
ARIRANG
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ARI
The Life of a Showgirl
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-YOU
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-KIS
The Great Divide
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-GRE
I’m the Problem
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-IMT
SOS
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-SOS
KPop Demon Hunters
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-KPO
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-DEB
GNX
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-GNX
Short n’ Sweet
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-SHO
One Thing at a Time
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ONE
ICEMAN
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ICE
The Fall Off
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-FAL
Dandelion
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-DAN
The Art Of Loving
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ART
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.