Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections
Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
62¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$54K
Identifier
KXDEMPROGRESSIVESENATESWEEP-26NOV03
Jun 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$36
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$54K
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXDEMPROGRESSIVESENATESWEEP-26NOV03
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$54K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections 62¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.