SimpleFunctions

Lowest round score of Round 1 under 61.5

Under 61.5 is priced at 61¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6.

Price history

61¢ current

+55¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 23, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If any golfer records a round score of below 61.5 strokes in Round 1 of the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Under 61.5

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Under 65.5 97¢

Range

6¢-97¢

Family volume

$189

Identifier

KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-61

Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

32¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$189

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 77¢

Kalshi
32¢ spread
BidSize
45¢5
44¢10
38¢870
29¢250
27¢250
AskSize
77¢250
78¢260
80¢400
91¢41
92¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If any golfer records a round score of below 61.5 strokes in Round 1 of the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-61

SF Signal
SF Index
2852.42
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$189

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Under 65.5 97¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2852.4%

IY (No)

1760.9%

Adj IY

2852%

CRI

1

RV

2276%

VR

0.86

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2852.4%
1760.9%
Adj IY
2852%
1
RV
2276%
VR
0.86
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
2.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.