Lowest round score of Round 1 under 64.5
Under 64.5 is priced at 93¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6.
Price history
93¢ current
+87¢Contract brief
If any golfer records a round score of below 64.5 strokes in Round 1 of the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Under 64.5
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Under 65.5 97¢
Range
6¢-97¢
Family volume
$189
Identifier
KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-64
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$189
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any golfer records a round score of below 64.5 strokes in Round 1 of the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-64
Event family
Will the lowest round score of Round 1 be under 6.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$189
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Under 65.5 97¢
Current share
0%
Under 65.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-65
Under 64.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-64
Under 63.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-63
Under 62.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-62
Under 61.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-61
Under 60.5
kalshi · KXPGAROUNDLOW-TRAV26R1-60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.