SimpleFunctions
Resolved market
kalshi
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
Calibration

Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 3% and 6%?

This prediction market has closed and is preserved as a settled-market record. Final outcome: NO, with settlement-time price 3.0¢.

Settlement

3.0¢

t-24h price

Calibration error

Volume

$677

Resolved at

Aug 6, 2026

Identifier

KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P4

Archive note

Historical resolution is tracked for calibration, settled-market search, and event-family context. The live trading book is no longer active; adjacent active markets are listed below when the category still has liquidity.

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