85° or below · Will the maximum temperature
85° or below is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the maximum temperature.
Price history
16¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jun 25, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
85° or below
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
86° to 87° 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-T86
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$11K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the maximum temperature
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jun 25, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-T86
Event family
Will the maximum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
86° to 87° 50¢
Current share
50%
86° to 87°
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-B86.5
88° to 89°
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-B88.5
85° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-T86
90° to 91°
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-B90.5
92° to 93°
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-B92.5
94° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHTATL-26JUN25-T93
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.