67° or below · Will the minimum temperature
67° or below is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
1¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
67° or below
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
68° to 69° 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-T68
Jul 12, 2026, 9:06 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
17¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-T68
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
68° to 69° 98¢
Current share
21%
68° to 69°
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-B68.5
67° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-T68
74° to 75°
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-B74.5
76° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-T75
72° to 73°
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-B72.5
70° to 71°
kalshi · KXLOWTOKC-26JUL12-B70.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.