73° to 74° · Will the minimum temperature
73° to 74° is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
24¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 12, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
73° to 74°
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
75° to 76° 77¢
Range
1¢-77¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B73.5
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 12, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B73.5
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
75° to 76° 77¢
Current share
14%
75° to 76°
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B75.5
73° to 74°
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B73.5
68° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-T69
77° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-T76
71° to 72°
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B71.5
69° to 70°
kalshi · KXLOWTATL-26JUL12-B69.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 24% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.