SimpleFunctions

Minnesota Wild · KXNHLPLAYOFF-27

Minnesota Wild is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNHLPLAYOFF-27.

Price history

83¢ current

+81¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 22, 2026Aug 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Minnesota Wild qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Minnesota Wild

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Colorado Avalanche 88¢

Range

5¢-88¢

Family volume

$178

Identifier

KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-MIN

Aug 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

83¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

78¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

16¢

Reported volume

$100

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNHLPLAYOFF-27

Closes

Apr 25, 2027

Family volume

$178

Orderbook snapshot

78 / 94¢

Kalshi
16¢ spread
BidSize
78¢100
33¢58
32¢146
28¢48
12¢40
AskSize
94¢111
95¢555
99¢1.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Minnesota Wild qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNHLPLAYOFF-27-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
211.27
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

42.3%

IY (No)

531.6%

Adj IY

211%

CRI

4

Overround

14.3%

LAS

0.21

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

42.3%
531.6%
Adj IY
211%
4
Overround
14.3%
LAS
0.21

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.