Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $3.50 in July 2026
Above $3.50 is priced at 94¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.
Price history
94¢ current
+93¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $3.50
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Above $3.00 94¢
Range
2¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXB200MS-26JUL-3.50
Jun 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXB200MS-26JUL-3.50
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above $3.00 94¢
Current share
—
Above $3.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-3.00
Above $3.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-3.50
Above $4.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-4.000
Above $4.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-4.500
Above $5.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-5.000
Above $6.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-6.500
Above $5.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-5.500
Above $7.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-7.000
Above $6.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-26JUL-6.000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 94% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.