SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $3.50 in June 2027

Above $3.50 is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

76¢ current

+16¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 2, 2026Jul 27, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3.50

Rank

#2 of 9

Leader

Above $3.00 80¢

Range

31¢-80¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXB200MS-27JUN-3.50

Jul 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

76¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

76¢

Spread

Reported volume

$384

Family rank

#2 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 76¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢26K
75¢326
74¢100
71¢100
2¢46
AskSize
76¢361
77¢10
81¢100
96¢13
97¢66

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27JUN-3.50

SF Signal
SF Index
162.09
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

36.0%

IY (No)

324.2%

Adj IY

162%

CRI

3

Overround

4.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

36.0%
324.2%
Adj IY
162%
3
Overround
4.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.