SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $5.50 in June 2027

Above $5.50 is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

54¢ current

+17¢
40¢50¢60¢
Jul 9, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.50

Rank

#6 of 9

Leader

Above $3.00 79¢

Range

39¢-79¢

Family volume

$3

Identifier

KXB200MS-27JUN-5.500

Aug 3, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

54¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 3, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$3

Family rank

#6 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Family volume

$3

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 54¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
53¢151
50¢100
48¢100
35¢12
4¢47
AskSize
54¢192
57¢100
81¢30
96¢50
97¢48

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27JUN-5.500

SF Signal
SF Index
62.01
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

97.5%

IY (No)

124.0%

Adj IY

62%

CRI

1

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

97.5%
124.0%
Adj IY
62%
1
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.