SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $3.00 in May 2027

Above $3.00 is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

95¢ current

+94¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 9, 2026Aug 4, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3.00

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Above $3.00 92¢

Range

28¢-92¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAY-3.00

Aug 5, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 5, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

Reported volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 94¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
92¢26
85¢100
3¢1
2¢52
AskSize
94¢400
97¢100
98¢54
99¢28K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAY-3.00

SF Signal
SF Index
1400.26
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10.6%

IY (No)

1400.3%

Adj IY

1400%

CRI

12

RV

105%

VR

3.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

10.6%
1400.3%
Adj IY
1400%
12
RV
105%
VR
3.27
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.