SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $7.00 in May 2027

Above $7.00 is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

21¢ current

+16¢
0¢25¢
Jul 9, 2026Aug 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $7.00

Rank

#9 of 9

Leader

Above $3.00 85¢

Range

28¢-85¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAY-7.000

Aug 7, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#9 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 29¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢12K
28¢200
5¢49
4¢580
AskSize
29¢24
32¢100
92¢54
93¢370

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAY-7.000

SF Signal
SF Index
157.55
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

315.1%

IY (No)

47.7%

Adj IY

158%

CRI

3

Overround

4.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

315.1%
47.7%
Adj IY
158%
3
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.