SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 above $2.25 in July 2026

Above $2.25 is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $.

Price history

93¢ current

+17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2.25 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.25

Rank

#2 of 9

Leader

Above $2.00 96¢

Range

2¢-96¢

Family volume

$111

Identifier

KXH100MS-26JUL-2.250

Jul 12, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

93¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

93¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1

Family rank

#2 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$111

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 94¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
93¢27
92¢200
35¢30
2¢49
AskSize
94¢304
96¢100
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2.25 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH100MS-26JUL-2.250

SF Signal
SF Index
12225.17
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

140.0%

IY (No)

24717.3%

Adj IY

12225%

CRI

13

Overround

1.7%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

140.0%
24717.3%
Adj IY
12225%
13
Overround
1.7%
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.