SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 above $2.00 in October 2026

Above $2.00 is priced at 67¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $.

Price history

67¢ current

+2¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Above $2.00 66¢

Range

7¢-66¢

Family volume

$65

Identifier

KXH100MS-26OCT-2.000

Jul 2, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 2, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$65

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 67¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
66¢791
2¢48
AskSize
67¢1.7K
68¢25
69¢125
70¢100
98¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH100MS-26OCT-2.000

SF Signal
SF Index
291.79
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

154.9%

IY (No)

583.6%

Adj IY

292%

CRI

2

Overround

2.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

154.9%
583.6%
Adj IY
292%
2
Overround
2.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.