SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 above $4.00 in August 2027

Above $4.00 is priced at 27¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 13 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $.

Price history

27¢ current

+7¢
10¢20¢30¢
Aug 2, 2026Aug 15, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $4 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $4.00

Rank

#13 of 13

Leader

Above $1.00 91¢

Range

22¢-91¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXH100MS-27AUG-4.000

Aug 16, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 16, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#13 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 31¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
22¢210
21¢200
17¢100
3¢48
2¢14K
AskSize
31¢400
91¢51
92¢5.0K
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $4 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH100MS-27AUG-4.000

SF Signal
SF Index
340.02
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

340.0%

IY (No)

27.0%

Adj IY

340%

CRI

4

RV

590%

VR

3.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

340.0%
27.0%
Adj IY
340%
4
RV
590%
VR
3.25
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.