SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 above $2.00 in January 2027

Above $2.00 is priced at 71¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $.

Price history

71¢ current

+69¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Above $2.00 70¢

Range

2¢-70¢

Family volume

$63

Identifier

KXH100MS-27JAN-2.000

Jul 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

70¢

Ask

71¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$63

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 71¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
70¢50
67¢100
2¢43
AskSize
71¢125
98¢50
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH100MS-27JAN-2.000

SF Signal
SF Index
413.53
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

76.0%

IY (No)

413.5%

Adj IY

414%

CRI

2

RV

234318%

VR

58.71

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

76.0%
413.5%
Adj IY
414%
2
RV
234318%
VR
58.71
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
1.8%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.