SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 above $2.00 in July 2027

Above $2.00 is priced at 55¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $.

Price history

55¢ current

+53¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Above $2.00 50¢

Range

19¢-50¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXH100MS-27JUL-2.000

Jul 2, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 2, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

50¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

50 / 59¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
50¢60
49¢130
AskSize
59¢30
60¢130
62¢100
99¢4.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H100 compute per hour is above $2 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH100MS-27JUL-2.000

SF Signal
SF Index
75.84
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

92.5%

IY (No)

92.5%

Adj IY

76%

CRI

1

RV

1596%

VR

14.87

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

92.5%
92.5%
Adj IY
76%
1
RV
1596%
VR
14.87
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
2.2%
LAS
0.18

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.