Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $4.00 in July 2026
Above $4.00 is priced at 28¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.
Price history
28¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $4.00
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
Above $1.50 98¢
Range
3¢-98¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXH200MS-26JUL-4.000
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXH200MS-26JUL-4.000
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above $1.50 98¢
Current share
—
Above $1.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-1.500
Above $2.00
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-2.000
Above $2.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-2.500
Above $3.00
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-3.000
Above $3.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-3.500
Above $6.00
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-6.000
Above $4.00
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-4.000
Above $4.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-4.500
Above $6.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-6.500
Above $5.50
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-5.500
Above $5.00
kalshi · KXH200MS-26JUL-5.000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.