SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $6.00 in April 2027

Above $6.00 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

15¢ current

10¢
25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $6.00

Rank

#10 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 70¢

Range

27¢-70¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXH200MS-27APR-6.000

Jun 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

15¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

Reported volume

$300

Family rank

#10 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

May 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 36¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
30¢100
29¢300
AskSize
36¢300
99¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH200MS-27APR-6.000

SF Signal
SF Index
136.93
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

273.9%

IY (No)

50.3%

Adj IY

137%

CRI

2

Overround

3.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

273.9%
50.3%
Adj IY
137%
2
Overround
3.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.