Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.00 in October 2026
Above $1.00 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.
Price history
14¢ current
−20¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $1.00
Rank
#4 of 8
Leader
Above $0.25 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$35
Identifier
KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.000
Jul 31, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#4 of 8
8 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$35
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.000
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$35
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $0.25 90¢
Current share
0%
Above $0.25
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-0.250
Above $0.50
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-0.500
Above $0.75
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-0.750
Above $1.00
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.000
Above $1.25
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.250
Above $1.50
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.500
Above $1.75
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.750
Above $2.00
kalshi · KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-2.000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.