SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.75 in October 2026

Above $1.75 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

5¢ current

+3¢
0¢5¢
Jul 2, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.75 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.75

Rank

#4 of 8

Leader

Above $0.25 90¢

Range

1¢-90¢

Family volume

$4

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.750

Aug 1, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 1, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#4 of 8

8 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$4

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢16K
3¢285
AskSize
4¢1.7K
5¢33
6¢12
7¢1
8¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.75 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26OCT-1.750

SF Signal
SF Index
6461.21
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12922.4%

IY (No)

12.4%

Adj IY

6461%

CRI

32

Overround

0.5%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

12922.4%
12.4%
Adj IY
6461%
32
Overround
0.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.