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Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $0.20 in August 2027

Above $0.20 is priced at 86¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

86¢ current

+2¢
80¢85¢90¢
Aug 1, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.2 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.20

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Above $0.15 91¢

Range

9¢-91¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27AUG-0.200

Aug 3, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

86¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 3, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 86¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
85¢55
82¢100
77¢400
2¢50
AskSize
86¢122
90¢215
98¢60
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.2 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27AUG-0.200

SF Signal
SF Index
263.03
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16.4%

IY (No)

526.1%

Adj IY

263%

CRI

6

Overround

6.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16.4%
526.1%
Adj IY
263%
6
Overround
6.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.