SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.25 in August 2027

Above $1.25 is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

9¢ current

+2¢
5¢10¢
Aug 1, 2026Aug 3, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.25

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Above $0.15 91¢

Range

9¢-91¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27AUG-1.250

Aug 3, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 3, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$25

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 10¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
9¢150
7¢15
AskSize
10¢124
12¢15
17¢300
23¢100
89¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27AUG-1.250

SF Signal
SF Index
469.32
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

938.6%

IY (No)

9.2%

Adj IY

469%

CRI

10

Overround

6.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

938.6%
9.2%
Adj IY
469%
10
Overround
6.8%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.