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Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $0.75 in July 2027

Above $0.75 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

19¢ current

18¢
25¢
Jul 4, 2026Jul 31, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.75

Rank

#3 of 6

Leader

Above $0.25 85¢

Range

12¢-85¢

Family volume

$2

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUL-0.750

Aug 2, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 2, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Family volume

$2

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 20¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
19¢274
10¢100
4¢52
3¢100
AskSize
20¢100
25¢200
26¢59
38¢4
43¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUL-0.750

SF Signal
SF Index
213.86
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above $0.25 85¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

427.7%

IY (No)

23.5%

Adj IY

214%

CRI

4

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

427.7%
23.5%
Adj IY
214%
4
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.