SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.00 in July 2027

Above $1.00 is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

17¢ current

+14¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 16, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.00

Rank

#3 of 5

Leader

Above $0.50 66¢

Range

1¢-66¢

Family volume

$26

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUL-1.000

Jul 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

18¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#3 of 5

5 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Family volume

$26

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 18¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢11K
17¢760
2¢47
AskSize
18¢527
21¢100
83¢48
96¢44
98¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUL-1.000

SF Signal
SF Index
241.89
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$26

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above $0.50 66¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

483.8%

IY (No)

20.3%

Adj IY

242%

CRI

5

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

483.8%
20.3%
Adj IY
242%
5
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.