Number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) at least 6 in Aug 2026
At least 6 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least.
Price history
99¢ current
+96¢Contract brief
If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 6 in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 6
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
At least 6 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL6
Aug 23, 2026, 10:43 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 6 in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL6
Event family
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 6 99¢
Current share
0%
At least 6
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL6
At least 2
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL2
At least 4
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL4
At least 8
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL8
At least 7
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL7
At least 9
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL9
At least 10
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL10
At least 11
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL11
At least 12
kalshi · KXTRUMPNUMSTATES-26SEP01-AL12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.