SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14

Above $6.50 is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 13 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

59¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 18, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $6.50

Rank

#8 of 13

Leader

Above $3.00 98¢

Range

4¢-98¢

Family volume

$385

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG14-6.500

Jul 23, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#8 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Family volume

$385

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 60¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢6.0K
56¢105
55¢105
44¢197
AskSize
60¢156
63¢5
66¢100
67¢40
78¢212

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6.5 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG14-6.500

SF Signal
SF Index
1812.12
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1278.5%

IY (No)

2071.0%

Adj IY

1812%

CRI

1

RV

2093%

VR

4.74

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1278.5%
2071.0%
Adj IY
1812%
1
RV
2093%
VR
4.74
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
5.2%
LAS
0.13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.