SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $8 at 4 PM ET on Aug 14

Above $8.00 is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 13 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

12¢ current

19¢
0¢25¢
Jul 18, 2026Jul 27, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $8 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $8.00

Rank

#11 of 13

Leader

Above $4.00 98¢

Range

4¢-98¢

Family volume

$48

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG14-8.000

Jul 29, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 29, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

Reported volume

$766

Family rank

#11 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Family volume

$48

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢4.0K
10¢137
9¢100
AskSize
11¢217
12¢85
38¢16
44¢13
45¢197

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $8 on Aug 14, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26AUG14-8.000

SF Signal
SF Index
9858.35
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19716.7%

IY (No)

243.4%

Adj IY

9858%

CRI

9

Overround

4.9%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

19716.7%
243.4%
Adj IY
9858%
9
Overround
4.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.