SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $5.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04

Above $5.50 is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 13 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

57¢ current

+5¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 24, 2026Jul 30, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.50

Rank

#6 of 13

Leader

Above $3.00 97¢

Range

9¢-97¢

Family volume

$169

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP04-5.500

Jul 31, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 31, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

57¢

Spread

24h volume

$9

Family rank

#6 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$169

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 57¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
56¢137
AskSize
57¢101
74¢200
98¢202
99¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP04-5.500

SF Signal
SF Index
1302.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

804.2%

IY (No)

1302.7%

Adj IY

1303%

CRI

1

RV

286871%

VR

30.26

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

804.2%
1302.7%
Adj IY
1303%
1
RV
286871%
VR
30.26
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
5.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.