SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11

Above $4.00 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 13 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

96¢ current

+3¢
90¢95¢100¢
Jul 31, 2026Aug 1, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 on Sep 11, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $4.00

Rank

#3 of 13

Leader

Above $3.00 98¢

Range

8¢-98¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP11-4.000

Aug 3, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 3, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$100

Family rank

#3 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 11, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 97¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
96¢1.2K
92¢100
82¢500
60¢100
20¢15
AskSize
97¢128
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 on Sep 11, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 11, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP11-4.000

SF Signal
SF Index
11250.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

39.1%

IY (No)

22501.3%

Adj IY

11251%

CRI

24

Overround

3.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

39.1%
22501.3%
Adj IY
11251%
24
Overround
3.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.