SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price above $7 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11

Above $7.00 is priced at 25¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

25¢ current

6¢
20¢30¢
Aug 1, 2026Aug 3, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 on Sep 11, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $7.00

Rank

#9 of 13

Leader

Above $3.00 98¢

Range

5¢-98¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP11-7.000

Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#9 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 11, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 26¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
24¢120
20¢100
12¢14
11¢50
10¢100
AskSize
26¢100
28¢300
32¢100
66¢65
98¢44

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $7 on Sep 11, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 11, 2026

Identifier

KXB200WS-26SEP11-7.000

SF Signal
SF Index
2972.06
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2972.1%

IY (No)

296.4%

Adj IY

2972%

CRI

3

RV

575%

VR

1.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2972.1%
296.4%
Adj IY
2972%
3
RV
575%
VR
1.07
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
3.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.