SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price above $2.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04

Above $2.50 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

96¢ current

+21¢
80¢90¢100¢
Jul 24, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.50

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 97¢

Range

9¢-97¢

Family volume

$288

Identifier

KXH200WS-26SEP04-2.500

Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$150

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$288

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 97¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
96¢76
95¢909
94¢99
80¢10
75¢24
AskSize
97¢150
98¢50
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 on Sep 04, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXH200WS-26SEP04-2.500

SF Signal
SF Index
13734.71
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

47.7%

IY (No)

27469.4%

Adj IY

13735%

CRI

24

Overround

5.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

47.7%
27469.4%
Adj IY
13735%
24
Overround
5.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.