SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.7 at 4 PM ET on Aug 21

Above $0.70 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

7¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
Jul 17, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.7 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.70

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Above $0.35 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$686

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26AUG21-0.700

Jul 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$37

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Family volume

$686

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢6.0K
6¢640
4¢6.1K
2¢259
AskSize
7¢348
8¢100
19¢355
30¢187
88¢13

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.7 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26AUG21-0.700

SF Signal
SF Index
10674.11
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

21348.2%

IY (No)

87.0%

Adj IY

10674%

CRI

16

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

21348.2%
87.0%
Adj IY
10674%
16
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.