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NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.8 at 4 PM ET on Aug 21

Above $0.80 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

3¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢
Jul 17, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.8 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.80

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Above $0.35 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26AUG21-0.800

Jul 25, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$118

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢17K
4¢332
2¢392
AskSize
5¢2.5K
6¢100
13¢356
15¢1
26¢197

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.8 on Aug 21, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26AUG21-0.800

SF Signal
SF Index
16213.21
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

32426.4%

IY (No)

56.3%

Adj IY

16213%

CRI

24

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32426.4%
56.3%
Adj IY
16213%
24
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.