SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 31

Above $0.50 is priced at 60¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

60¢ current

60¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.50

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Above $0.50 54¢

Range

3¢-54¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26JUL31-0.500

Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

54¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 65¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
54¢300
AskSize
65¢300
98¢43
99¢65

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26JUL31-0.500

SF Signal
SF Index
581.41
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Above $0.50 54¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

843.8%

IY (No)

1162.8%

Adj IY

581%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

843.8%
1162.8%
Adj IY
581%
1
Overround
-0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.