SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Jun 26

Above $0.50 is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

72¢ current

+69¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 13, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Jun 26, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.50

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

Above $0.50 71¢

Range

1¢-71¢

Family volume

$291

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26JUN26-0.500

Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

71¢

Ask

72¢

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$291

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 72¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
71¢4
30¢250
2¢41
AskSize
72¢116
73¢100
98¢51
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Jun 26, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26JUN26-0.500

SF Signal
SF Index
48356.10
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$291

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above $0.50 71¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

2.49

IAR

2.6/h

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
2.49
IAR
2.6/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.