Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m is priced at 42¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
42¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Outcome
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$13
Identifier
0x0e90db1a...451c
Aug 12, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
82¢
24h volume
$13
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$13
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
0x0e90db1a…451c
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m 42¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.