Organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing above 160000 as reported for December 2026
Above 160,000 is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 1.
Price history
56¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 160,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 160,000
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above 130,000 81¢
Range
33¢-81¢
Family volume
$977
Identifier
KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A160000
Sep 15, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 1
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Family volume
$977
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 160,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Identifier
KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A160000
Event family
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$977
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 130,000 81¢
Current share
44%
Above 130,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A130000
Above 140,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A140000
Above 150,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A150000
Above 160,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A160000
Above 170,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A170000
Above 180,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A180000
Above 190,000
kalshi · KXDSAMEMBERSHIP-26DEC31-A190000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.