Do not relocate/announce a relocation · Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they
Do not relocate/announce a relocation is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they.
Price history
76¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If the Portland Pro Basketball team officially announces they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Do not relocate/announce a relocation
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Do not relocate/announce a relocation 68¢
Range
4¢-68¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-NONE
Sep 22, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$400
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they
Closes
Dec 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Portland Pro Basketball team officially announces they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-NONE
Event family
Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Do not relocate/announce a relocation 68¢
Current share
—
Do not relocate/announce a relocation
kalshi · KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-NONE
St. Louis
kalshi · KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-STL
Kansas City
kalshi · KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-KC
Nashville
kalshi · KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-NSH
Tampa Bay
kalshi · KXNBARELOCATION-27POR-TB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 76% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.