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Price of YSL Y above $140 in 2026

Above $140 is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will the price of YSL Y be above $1.

Price history

21¢ current

0¢10¢20¢
Aug 19, 2026Sep 11, 2026

Contract brief

If the market price of YSL Y (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is above $140 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $140

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Above $110 55¢

Range

16¢-55¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXFRAGRANCE-27-140

Sep 18, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 32m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 18, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 32m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

76¢

Reported volume

$351

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the price of YSL Y be above $1

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 98¢

Kalshi
76¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
22¢5
3¢35
AskSize
98¢35
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the market price of YSL Y (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is above $140 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFRAGRANCE-27-140

SF Signal
SF Index
615.91
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the price of YSL Y be above $1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above $110 55¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1231.8%

IY (No)

98.0%

Adj IY

616%

CRI

4

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1231.8%
98.0%
Adj IY
616%
4
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.