SimpleFunctions

Price of YSL Y above $140 in 2026

Above $140 is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will the price of YSL Y be above $1.

Price history

32¢ current

22¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the market price of YSL Y (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is above $140 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $140

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

Above $100 89¢

Range

17¢-89¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXFRAGRANCE-27-140

Jun 25, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$151

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the price of YSL Y be above $1

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 34¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
24¢100
AskSize
34¢100
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the market price of YSL Y (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is above $140 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFRAGRANCE-27-140

SF Signal
SF Index
304.01
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the price of YSL Y be above $1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above $100 89¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

608.0%

IY (No)

60.6%

Adj IY

304%

CRI

3

Overround

1.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

608.0%
60.6%
Adj IY
304%
3
Overround
1.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.