Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona
This contract is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$134K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
GOVPARTYAZ-26-R
Price history
26¢ current
+5¢Orderbook snapshot
22 / 24¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
GOVPARTYAZ-26-R
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$134K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona 26¢
Current share
100%
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona
kalshi · GOVPARTYAZ-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 26% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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