Will the Republican party win the governorship in California
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$476K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
GOVPARTYCA-26-R
Price history
12¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
GOVPARTYCA-26-R
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$476K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in California 12¢
Current share
100%
Will the Republican party win the governorship in California
kalshi · GOVPARTYCA-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.412
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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