Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson · GOVPARTYSC-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside GOVPARTYSC-26.
Price history
96¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Carolina pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson 93¢
Range
5¢-93¢
Family volume
$252
Identifier
GOVPARTYSC-26-R
Aug 19, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$52
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · GOVPARTYSC-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$252
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Carolina pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
GOVPARTYSC-26-R
Event family
GOVPARTYSC-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$252
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson 93¢
Current share
21%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.