Robert Sprague · KXSECSTATEOH-26
Robert Sprague is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXSECSTATEOH-26.
Price history
66¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is elected the Secretary of State of Ohio in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Robert Sprague
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Robert Sprague 62¢
Range
31¢-62¢
Family volume
$200
Identifier
KXSECSTATEOH-26-R
Aug 1, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$260
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXSECSTATEOH-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$200
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is elected the Secretary of State of Ohio in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXSECSTATEOH-26-R
Event family
KXSECSTATEOH-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$200
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Robert Sprague 62¢
Current share
0%
Robert Sprague
kalshi · KXSECSTATEOH-26-R
Allison Russo
kalshi · KXSECSTATEOH-26-D
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.